A United Airlines Boeing 757 departs from Los Angeles International Airport en route to New York on Sept. 19, 2024.
Kevin Carter | Getty Images
United Airlines‘ second-quarter earnings beat estimates, and its CEO said travel demand is picking up after a rocky start to 2025.
Travel demand, particularly from more price-sensitive customers for domestic flights, had come in weaker than airline executives expected at the start of the year, sending airfares lower.
“The world is less uncertain today than it was during the first six months of 2025 and that gives us confidence about a strong finish to the year,” CEO Scott Kirby said.
Rival Delta Air Lines last week reinstated its full-year forecast, which was lower than it expected at the start of the year. Delta and other airlines have said they plan to cut capacity after the peak summer travel season, which ends around mid-August.
Here is what United Airlines reported for the quarter that ended June 30 compared with what Wall Street was expecting, based on estimates compiled by LSEG:
- Earnings per share: $3.87 adjusted vs. $3.81 expected
- Revenue: $15.24 billion vs. $15.35 billion expected
United’s second-quarter revenue rose 1.7% from a year earlier to $15.24 billion, below the $15.35 billion analysts expected. Net income dropped 26% to $973 million, or $2.97 a share. Adjusting for one-time items, United reported $1.27 billion, or $3.87 a share.
Unit revenue dropped 4% in the quarter. The decline was most pronounced in domestic passenger revenue per seat mile, which fell 7% year over year. International revenue has been a bright spot for airlines, but there was some evidence of weaker pricing power, with United’s Europe unit revenues down 2.2% on the year.
Premium revenue was up 5.6% over last year, a sign that customers continue to pay up for more comfort on board, while basic-economy class sales were up 1.7% year over year.
United expects to post adjusted earnings of between $9 and $11 per share in 2025 compared with the $10 a share analysts had expected. Amid economic uncertainty this spring, United in April had taken the the unusual step of issuing two earnings scenarios — $11.50 to $13.50 a share in a stable environment and $7 and $9 a share in a “recessionary environment.”
“We try to build conservatism into our guide because stuff does happen. A lot happened in the first half of the year,” Kirby told CNBC’s “Squawk Box” on Thursday. He said there is “upside” to the forecast if demand stays as strong as it is now.
For the third quarter, United said it expects adjusted earnings of $2.25 and $2.75 a share, within analysts’ expectations.
The carrier said operational constraints at Newark Liberty International Airport, a major United hub, this year hit its second-quarter pretax margin by 1.2 points and forecast a third-quarter impact of 0.9. TD Cowen airline analyst Tom Fitzgerald said that equated to a $218 million hit on pretax income in the second quarter and about $140 million for the third.
The Federal Aviation Administration in May cut flights at Newark because of air traffic controller staffing shortages and other issues.
American Airlines and Southwest Airlines are scheduled to report results next week.
